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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J1 LeagueSat, 23 May 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

4th in table · 30 pts

WWDLD

Sat, 23 May 202606:00

4 : 2

Full time

Nagoya Grampus

3rd in table · 31 pts

DWDDL

Pre-match win probability

54.3%Sanfrecce Hiroshima24.1%Draw21.7%Nagoya Grampus

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus listed tip from the board.

Odds2.05
Confidence54.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54.3%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Nagoya Grampus 21.7%

Season statistics

J1 League · highlighted side is stronger

Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus
Goals scored (avg)
–1.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.6
Wins
1010
Played
1818

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sanfrecce Hiroshima0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Nagoya Grampus3W 3D 4L in last 10
    • 28 OctNagoya Grampus1 – 2UrawaL
    • 25 OctNagoya Grampus1 – 1Yokohama F. MarinosD
    • 21 OctNagoya Grampus1 – 1Cerezo OsakaD
    • 17 OctKashiwa Reysol1 – 3Nagoya GrampusW
    • 14 OctNagoya Grampus3 – 3Fagiano OkayamaD
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
    2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
    3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7%
    No44.3%

    Double chance

    1X63.1%
    X236.9%

    Match result

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.73
    Draw3.9
    Nagoya Grampus4.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7% · 1.67
    No44.3% · 2.1

    1X

    Chance63.1%
    Odds1.2

    X2

    Chance36.9%
    Odds2.05

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima

    Chance54.3%
    Odds1.73

    Draw

    Chance24.1%
    Odds3.9

    Nagoya Grampus

    Chance21.7%
    Odds4.33

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 2.05

    Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus
    Recent form8%92%
    Attack40%60%
    Defence42%58%
    Goals model40%60%
    Overall71%29%

    Trends

    Trend · J1 League

    Nagoya Grampus scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · J1 League

    Nagoya Grampus conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · J1 League

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · J1 League

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction & preview

    Japan · J1 League · Sat, 23 May 2026

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima meet Nagoya Grampus in the Japan, J1 League on 23 May 2026 at 06:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

    Kickoff is 06:00 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.