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Sanjoanense vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalSat, 17 Oct 2026

Sanjoanense

Sat, 17 Oct 202615:00

1 : 0

Full time

Nacional

Pre-match win probability

16.4%Sanjoanense18.1%Draw65.5%Nacional

Our prediction

Nacional

Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.38
Confidence65.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sanjoanense 16.4%
  • Draw 18.1%
  • Nacional 65.5%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

SanjoanenseNacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X28.9%
X271.1%

Match result

Sanjoanense5.5
Draw5
Nacional1.38

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance28.9%
Odds2.75

X2

Chance71.1%
Odds1.12

Sanjoanense

Chance16.4%
Odds5.5

Draw

Chance18.1%
Odds5

Nacional

Chance65.5%
Odds1.38

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Nacional at 1.38

SanjoanenseNacional
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall20%80%

Sanjoanense vs Nacional: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Sanjoanense meet Nacional in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sanjoanense vs Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sanjoanense vs Nacional?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sanjoanense vs Nacional?

Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sanjoanense vs Nacional prediction, H2H and stats