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Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera AMon, 23 Mar 2026

Santa Fe

Mon, 23 Mar 202622:10

2 : 1

Full time

Independiente Medellin

Pre-match win probability

40%Santa Fe30%Draw30%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

Santa Fe

Santa Fe is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence40%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Santa Fe 40%
  • Draw 30%
  • Independiente Medellin 30%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

Santa FeIndependiente Medellin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.8% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X55.5%
X244.5%

Match result

Santa Fe2.25
Draw3
Independiente Medellin3

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

Santa Fe

Chance40%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3

Independiente Medellin

Chance30%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Santa Fe at 2.25

Santa FeIndependiente Medellin
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Mon, 23 Mar 2026

Santa Fe meet Independiente Medellin in the Colombia, Primera A on 23 March 2026 at 22:10 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Santa Fe at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?

Kickoff is 22:10 on 23 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?

Santa Fe is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin prediction, H2H and stats