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Santos vs Atletico-MG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 12 Apr 2026

Santos

WDLWD

Sun, 12 Apr 202600:00

1 : 0

Full time

Atletico-MG

LWWLW

Pre-match win probability

41.9%Santos29.5%Draw28.6%Atletico-MG

Our prediction

Away · Santos

Santos vs Atletico-MG listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Santos 41.9%
  • Draw 29.5%
  • Atletico-MG 28.6%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SantosAtletico-MG
Goals scored (avg)
1.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.5–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Santos6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctSantos1 – 1BahiaD
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosW
  • 11 OctAtletico-MG2 – 1SantosL
  • 8 OctSantos2 – 2FlamengoD
  • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosW
Atletico-MG0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
    1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
    2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.2% · 1.67
    3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X54.9%
    X245.1%

    Match result

    Santos2.25
    Draw3.2
    Atletico-MG3.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.91
    No50% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance54.9%
    Odds1.33

    X2

    Chance45.1%
    Odds1.62

    Santos

    Chance41.9%
    Odds2.25

    Draw

    Chance29.5%
    Odds3.2

    Atletico-MG

    Chance28.6%
    Odds3.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away at 3.3

    SantosAtletico-MG
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack66%34%
    Defence60%40%
    Goals model66%34%
    Overall59%41%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Santos scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Santos conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

    Santos vs Atletico-MG: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 12 Apr 2026

    Santos meet Atletico-MG in the Brazil, Serie A on 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Santos at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Santos vs Atletico-MG FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Santos vs Atletico-MG?

    Kickoff is 00:00 on 12 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Santos vs Atletico-MG?

    Santos is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.