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Santos vs Atletico-MG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaWed, 9 Sept 2026

Santos

WDWLD

Wed, 9 Sept 202623:00

2 : 0

Live

Atletico-MG

LWWDD

Pre-match win probability

44.9%Santos31.5%Draw23.6%Atletico-MG

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Santos

Santos vs Atletico-MG listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence44.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Santos 44.9%
  • Draw 31.5%
  • Atletico-MG 23.6%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · highlighted side is stronger

SantosAtletico-MG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X55.9%
X244.1%

Match result

Santos2.1
Draw3
Atletico-MG4

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance55.9%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.1%
Odds1.62

Santos

Chance44.9%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance31.5%
Odds3

Atletico-MG

Chance23.6%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

SantosAtletico-MG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Santos vs Atletico-MG: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed, 9 Sept 2026

Santos meet Atletico-MG in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 9 September 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Santos at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Santos vs Atletico-MG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Santos vs Atletico-MG?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 9 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Santos vs Atletico-MG?

Santos is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Santos vs Atletico-MG prediction, H2H and stats