Sao Jose vs Caxias Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1Mon, 26 Jan 2026

Sao Jose

Mon, 26 Jan 202623:00

1 : 0

Live

Caxias

Pre-match win probability

30.9%Sao Jose32%Draw37.1%Caxias

Our prediction

Caxias

Caxias is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence37.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Jose 30.9%
  • Draw 32%
  • Caxias 37.1%

Season statistics

Gaúcho - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Sao JoseCaxias

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X47.6%
X252.4%

Match result

Sao Jose3
Draw2.9
Caxias2.5

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

Sao Jose

Chance30.9%
Odds3

Draw

Chance32%
Odds2.9

Caxias

Chance37.1%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Caxias at 2.5

Sao JoseCaxias
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall45%55%

Sao Jose vs Caxias: prediction & preview

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1 · Mon, 26 Jan 2026

Sao Jose meet Caxias in the Brazil, Gaúcho - 1 on 26 January 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caxias at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Jose vs Caxias FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sao Jose vs Caxias?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 26 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sao Jose vs Caxias?

Caxias is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sao Jose vs Caxias prediction, H2H and stats