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São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1Wed, 21 Jan 2026

São Luiz

LDD

Wed, 21 Jan 202623:00

1 : 0

Live

Novo Hamburgo

LWWLD

Pre-match win probability

38.9%São Luiz32.2%Draw28.9%Novo Hamburgo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · São Luiz

São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence38.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • São Luiz 38.9%
  • Draw 32.2%
  • Novo Hamburgo 28.9%

Season statistics

Gaúcho - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

São LuizNovo Hamburgo
Goals scored (avg)
–1.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

São Luiz0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Novo Hamburgo3W 4D 2L in last 9
    • 7 MarNovo Hamburgo1 – 1São LuizD
    • 2 MarSão Luiz1 – 0Novo HamburgoL
    • 23 FebSao Jose1 – 2Novo HamburgoW
    • 15 FebNovo Hamburgo3 – 2Sao JoseW
    • 7 FebGremio1 – 0Novo HamburgoL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
    1.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.9% · 2.38
    2.5 goals8.7% · 2.716.3% · 1.44
    3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.6% · 1.14

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3%
    No55.7%

    Double chance

    1X52.9%
    X247.1%

    Match result

    São Luiz2.38
    Draw2.88
    Novo Hamburgo3.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3% · 2.1
    No55.7% · 1.67

    1X

    Chance52.9%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance47.1%
    Odds1.53

    São Luiz

    Chance38.9%
    Odds2.38

    Draw

    Chance32.2%
    Odds2.88

    Novo Hamburgo

    Chance28.9%
    Odds3.2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

    São LuizNovo Hamburgo
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack48%52%
    Defence32%68%
    Goals model48%52%
    Overall57%43%

    Trends

    Trend · Gaúcho - 1

    Novo Hamburgo scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Gaúcho - 1

    Novo Hamburgo conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Gaúcho - 1

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Gaúcho - 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Gaúcho - 1 · Wed, 21 Jan 2026

    São Luiz meet Novo Hamburgo in the Brazil, Gaúcho - 1 on 21 January 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is São Luiz at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo?

    Kickoff is 23:00 on 21 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo?

    São Luiz is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.7 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo prediction, H2H and stats