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Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 23 Jul 2026

Sao Paulo

Thu, 23 Jul 202601:30

1 : 2

Full time

Atletico Paranaense

Pre-match win probability

46.8%Sao Paulo29.2%Draw24%Atletico Paranaense

Our prediction

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence46.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 46.8%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Atletico Paranaense 24%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.6% · 2.2514.7% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Sao Paulo2
Draw3.2
Atletico Paranaense3.9

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Sao Paulo

Chance46.8%
Odds2

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.2

Atletico Paranaense

Chance24%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sao Paulo at 2

Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 23 Jul 2026

Sao Paulo meet Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil, Serie A on 23 July 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 23 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense?

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.