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Sao Paulo vs Bahia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 26 Oct 2025

Sao Paulo

8th in table · 51 pts

Sun, 26 Oct 202501:30

2 : 0

Full time

Bahia

7th in table · 60 pts

Pre-match win probability

48.1%Sao Paulo28.1%Draw23.8%Bahia

Our prediction

Away · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Bahia listed tip from the board.

Odds4.03
Confidence48.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 48.1%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Bahia 23.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloBahia
Wins
1417
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sao Paulo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Bahia0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headSao Paulo 5W · 2D · Bahia 2W · 2.3 goals a game
      • 3 MaySao Paulo2 – 2Bahia
      • 31 MayBahia2 – 1Sao Paulo
      • 6 NovBahia0 – 3Sao Paulo
      • 30 JunSao Paulo3 – 1Bahia
      • 30 NovBahia0 – 1Sao Paulo
      • 30 JulSao Paulo0 – 0Bahia

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.5% · 1.022.9% · 7.9
      1.5 goals16.8% · 1.378.6% · 2.68
      2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3314.1% · 1.63
      3.5 goals5.4% · 4.2520% · 1.15

      Both teams to score

      Yes46.5%
      No53.5%

      Double chance

      1X59.4%
      X240.6%

      Match result

      Sao Paulo2
      Draw3.42
      Bahia4.03

      Both teams to score

      Yes46.5% · 1.99
      No53.5% · 1.73

      1X

      Chance59.4%
      Odds1.25

      X2

      Chance40.6%
      Odds1.83

      Sao Paulo

      Chance48.1%
      Odds2

      Draw

      Chance28.1%
      Odds3.42

      Bahia

      Chance23.8%
      Odds4.03

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Away at 4.03

      Sao PauloBahia
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head67%33%
      Overall67%33%

      Sao Paulo vs Bahia: prediction & preview

      Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 26 Oct 2025

      Sao Paulo meet Bahia in the Brazil, Serie A on 26 October 2025 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.63, about 58.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Sao Paulo vs Bahia FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Sao Paulo vs Bahia?

      Kickoff is 01:30 on 26 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Bahia?

      Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.1%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.33 and under 2.5 is 1.63.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.99. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.