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Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaWed, 16 Sept 2026

Sao Paulo

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Wed, 16 Sept 202601:30

1 : 1

Full time

Boca Juniors

WWDDW

Pre-match win probability

41%Sao Paulo30.4%Draw28.6%Boca Juniors

Our prediction

Away · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence41%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 41%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • Boca Juniors 28.6%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloBoca Juniors

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.9% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.7% · 2.716.3% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.6% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X55.5%
X244.5%

Match result

Sao Paulo2.3
Draw3.1
Boca Juniors3.3

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

Sao Paulo

Chance41%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

Boca Juniors

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.3

Sao PauloBoca Juniors
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed, 16 Sept 2026

Sao Paulo meet Boca Juniors in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 16 September 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 16 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors?

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.7 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors prediction, H2H and stats