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Sao Paulo vs Bolívar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaWed, 19 Aug 2026

Sao Paulo

LLWWD

Wed, 19 Aug 202601:30

3 : 1

Full time

Bolívar

WDWWL

Pre-match win probability

65%Sao Paulo21.6%Draw13.4%Bolívar

Our prediction

1X · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Bolívar listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence65%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 65%
  • Draw 21.6%
  • Bolívar 13.4%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloBolívar
Goals scored (avg)
0.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sao Paulo4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaW
  • 8 OctCruzeiro2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosL
Bolívar0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
    1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
    2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
    3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4%
    No53.6%

    Double chance

    1X70.4%
    X229.6%

    Match result

    Sao Paulo1.44
    Draw4.33
    Bolívar7

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4% · 2
    No53.6% · 1.73

    1X

    Chance70.4%
    Odds1.1

    X2

    Chance29.6%
    Odds2.62

    Sao Paulo

    Chance65%
    Odds1.44

    Draw

    Chance21.6%
    Odds4.33

    Bolívar

    Chance13.4%
    Odds7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.1

    Sao PauloBolívar
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack47%53%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model47%53%
    Overall83%17%

    Trends

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Sao Paulo scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Sao Paulo conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Sao Paulo vs Bolívar: prediction & preview

    World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed, 19 Aug 2026

    Sao Paulo meet Bolívar in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 19 August 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 1.44. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Sao Paulo vs Bolívar FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Sao Paulo vs Bolívar?

    Kickoff is 01:30 on 19 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Bolívar?

    Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.44. The margin-adjusted share is about 65%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.