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Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 4 Apr 2026

Sao Paulo

DLLWW

Sat, 4 Apr 202622:30

4 : 1

Full time

Cruzeiro

WDLDL

Pre-match win probability

44.1%Sao Paulo29.6%Draw26.3%Cruzeiro

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 44.1%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Cruzeiro 26.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloCruzeiro

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.6% · 2.2514.7% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Sao Paulo2.15
Draw3.2
Cruzeiro3.6

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Sao Paulo

Chance44.1%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Cruzeiro

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

Sao PauloCruzeiro
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 4 Apr 2026

Sao Paulo meet Cruzeiro in the Brazil, Serie A on 4 April 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 4 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro?

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro prediction, H2H and stats