Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 29 Jan 2026

Sao Paulo

LLDWL

Thu, 29 Jan 202601:30

2 : 1

Full time

Flamengo

LWLLD

Pre-match win probability

24.6%Sao Paulo31.9%Draw43.5%Flamengo

Our prediction

Draw · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo listed tip from the board.

Odds3
Confidence43.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 24.6%
  • Draw 31.9%
  • Flamengo 43.5%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloFlamengo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.3% · 2.3
2.5 goals8.2% · 2.8816.9% · 1.4
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.7% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X43.6%
X256.4%

Match result

Sao Paulo3.9
Draw3
Flamengo2.2

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance43.6%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance56.4%
Odds1.25

Sao Paulo

Chance24.6%
Odds3.9

Draw

Chance31.9%
Odds3

Flamengo

Chance43.5%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3

Sao PauloFlamengo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 29 Jan 2026

Sao Paulo meet Flamengo in the Brazil, Serie A on 29 January 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Flamengo at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sao Paulo vs Flamengo?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 29 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.88 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo prediction, H2H and stats