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Sarasota Paradise vs One Knoxville Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL League OneSun, 5 Apr 2026

Sarasota Paradise

11th in table · 40 pts

LWWLD

Sun, 5 Apr 202600:30

1 : 2

Full time

One Knoxville

6th in table · 54 pts

DLWLW

Pre-match win probability

38.9%Sarasota Paradise28%Draw33.1%One Knoxville

Our prediction

Sarasota Paradise

Sarasota Paradise is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence38.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sarasota Paradise 38.9%
  • Draw 28%
  • One Knoxville 33.1%

Season statistics

USL League One · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Sarasota ParadiseOne Knoxville
Goals scored (avg)
2.61.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.1
Wins
1115
Played
3232

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sarasota Paradise5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctSarasota Paradise2 – 2Westchester SCD
  • 21 OctSarasota Paradise2 – 3NaplesL
  • 18 OctFort Wayne1 – 3Sarasota ParadiseW
  • 11 OctSarasota Paradise3 – 2Richmond KickersW
  • 4 OctSarasota Paradise2 – 3Charlotte IndependenceL
One Knoxville4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 17 OctNY Cosmos0 – 3One KnoxvilleW
  • 11 OctOne Knoxville0 – 2Spokane VelocityL
  • 8 OctOne Knoxville3 – 0Chattanooga Red WolvesW
  • 3 OctRichmond Kickers3 – 2One KnoxvilleL
  • 28 SeptOne Knoxville0 – 0Westchester SCD
H2H
Head to headSarasota Paradise 0W · 0D · One Knoxville 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 9 AugOne Knoxville2 – 1Sarasota Paradise

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals39.1% · 2.3860.9% · 1.53

Double chance

1X52.4%
X247.6%

Match result

Sarasota Paradise2.3
Draw3.2
One Knoxville2.7

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

Sarasota Paradise

Chance38.9%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.2

One Knoxville

Chance33.1%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sarasota Paradise at 2.3

Sarasota ParadiseOne Knoxville
Recent form55%45%
Attack63%37%
Defence44%56%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall54%46%

Trends

Trend · USL League One

Sarasota Paradise scored 2.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL League One

Sarasota Paradise conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL League One

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Trend · USL League One

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

Sarasota Paradise vs One Knoxville: prediction & preview

USA · USL League One · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Sarasota Paradise meet One Knoxville in the USA, USL League One on 5 April 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sarasota Paradise at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sarasota Paradise vs One Knoxville FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sarasota Paradise vs One Knoxville?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sarasota Paradise vs One Knoxville?

Sarasota Paradise is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.