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Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Sassuolo

LWDDW

Sun, 11 Oct 202617:00

1 : 1

Full time

AC Milan

WLDDW

Pre-match win probability

21.9%Sassuolo25.6%Draw52.6%AC Milan

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Sassuolo

Sassuolo vs AC Milan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence52.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sassuolo 21.9%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • AC Milan 52.6%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

SassuoloAC Milan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X38.1%
X261.9%

Match result

Sassuolo4.33
Draw3.7
AC Milan1.8

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance38.1%
Odds1.95

X2

Chance61.9%
Odds1.2

Sassuolo

Chance21.9%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.7

AC Milan

Chance52.6%
Odds1.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.2

SassuoloAC Milan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall29%71%

Sassuolo vs AC Milan: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Sassuolo meet AC Milan in the Italy, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan prediction, H2H and stats