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Sassuolo vs Parma Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 3 Jan 2026

Sassuolo

11th in table · 49 pts

LDLLL

Sat, 3 Jan 202615:00

1 : 1

Full time

Parma

13th in table · 45 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

49.2%Sassuolo28.5%Draw22.4%Parma

Our prediction

Draw · Sassuolo

Sassuolo vs Parma listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence49.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sassuolo 49.2%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Parma 22.4%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SassuoloParma
Goals scored (avg)
1.50.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.31.7
Wins
1411
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sassuolo2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 27 OctSassuolo2 – 6LazioL
  • 24 OctComo2 – 0SassuoloL
  • 16 OctFrosinone4 – 2SassuoloL
  • 11 OctSassuolo1 – 1AC MilanD
  • 18 SeptMonza2 – 1SassuoloL
Parma2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 24 OctLazio2 – 1ParmaL
  • 19 OctParma0 – 3TorinoL
  • 10 OctInter3 – 0ParmaL
  • 20 SeptParma2 – 1GenoaW
  • 14 SeptComo2 – 1ParmaL
H2H
Head to headSassuolo 2W · 3D · Parma 4W · 1.4 goals a game
  • 25 JulSassuolo0 – 0Parma
  • 24 MayParma1 – 0Sassuolo
  • 2 AugParma1 – 0Sassuolo
  • 1 AugParma0 – 3Sassuolo
  • 16 MayParma1 – 3Sassuolo
  • 17 JanSassuolo1 – 1Parma

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6% · 419.1% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X60%
X240%

Match result

Sassuolo1.91
Draw3.3
Parma4.2

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance60%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40%
Odds1.83

Sassuolo

Chance49.2%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.3

Parma

Chance22.4%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.3

SassuoloParma
Recent form56%44%
Attack68%32%
Defence35%65%
Goals model68%32%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Sassuolo scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Sassuolo conceded 2.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

Sassuolo vs Parma: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 3 Jan 2026

Sassuolo meet Parma in the Italy, Serie A on 3 January 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sassuolo at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sassuolo vs Parma FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sassuolo vs Parma?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 3 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sassuolo vs Parma?

Sassuolo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.