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Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Bulgaria · First LeagueSat, 21 Mar 2026

Septemvri Sofia

LLLLW

Sat, 21 Mar 202611:30

1 : 4

Full time

Arda Kardzhali

WLDWD

Pre-match win probability

25.3%Septemvri Sofia31.2%Draw43.5%Arda Kardzhali

Our prediction

Away · Septemvri Sofia

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali listed tip from the board.

Odds2.15
Confidence43.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Septemvri Sofia 25.3%
  • Draw 31.2%
  • Arda Kardzhali 43.5%

Season statistics

First League · highlighted side is stronger

Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X39.2%
X260.8%

Match result

Septemvri Sofia3.7
Draw3
Arda Kardzhali2.15

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance39.2%
Odds1.83

X2

Chance60.8%
Odds1.18

Septemvri Sofia

Chance25.3%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance31.2%
Odds3

Arda Kardzhali

Chance43.5%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.15

Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall37%63%

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali: prediction & preview

Bulgaria · First League · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Septemvri Sofia meet Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria, First League on 21 March 2026 at 11:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arda Kardzhali at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali FAQs

4 questions

What time is Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Kickoff is 11:30 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Arda Kardzhali is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.