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Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Bulgaria · First LeagueThu, 14 May 2026

Septemvri Sofia

DLDDD

Thu, 14 May 202613:15

1 : 0

Full time

Spartak Varna

WDLLD

Pre-match win probability

47.3%Septemvri Sofia28.4%Draw24.3%Spartak Varna

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Septemvri Sofia

Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence47.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Septemvri Sofia 47.3%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Spartak Varna 24.3%

Season statistics

First League · highlighted side is stronger

Septemvri SofiaSpartak Varna

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Septemvri Sofia1.95
Draw3.25
Spartak Varna3.8

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Septemvri Sofia

Chance47.3%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.25

Spartak Varna

Chance24.3%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

Septemvri SofiaSpartak Varna
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna: prediction & preview

Bulgaria · First League · Thu, 14 May 2026

Septemvri Sofia meet Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria, First League on 14 May 2026 at 13:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Septemvri Sofia at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna FAQs

4 questions

What time is Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Kickoff is 13:15 on 14 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Septemvri Sofia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna prediction, H2H and stats