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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 29 Aug 2026

Sevilla

LLDLW

Sat, 29 Aug 202620:30

1 : 3

Full time

Atletico Madrid

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

26.4%Sevilla27.2%Draw46.4%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Home · Sevilla

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sevilla 26.4%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Atletico Madrid 46.4%

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SevillaAtletico Madrid
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.70.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sevilla4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 26 OctSevilla2 – 0OsasunaW
  • 18 OctReal Madrid4 – 1SevillaL
  • 12 OctLevante3 – 3SevillaD
  • 2 OctSevilla1 – 3Aston VillaL
  • 19 SeptSevilla1 – 3BarcelonaL
Atletico Madrid7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.418% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X42.5%
X257.5%

Match result

Sevilla3.6
Draw3.5
Atletico Madrid2.05

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

Sevilla

Chance26.4%
Odds3.6

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.5

Atletico Madrid

Chance46.4%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 3.6

SevillaAtletico Madrid
Recent form39%61%
Attack48%52%
Defence37%63%
Goals model48%52%
Overall36%64%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Sevilla scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Sevilla conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Sevilla meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 29 August 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 29 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.