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Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 8 Mar 2026

Sevilla

DWDDL

Sun, 8 Mar 202618:30

1 : 1

Full time

Rayo Vallecano

WDDWL

Pre-match win probability

35.3%Sevilla30.7%Draw34%Rayo Vallecano

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Sevilla

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence35.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sevilla 35.3%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Rayo Vallecano 34%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

SevillaRayo Vallecano

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Sevilla2.7
Draw3.1
Rayo Vallecano2.8

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

Sevilla

Chance35.3%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds3.1

Rayo Vallecano

Chance34%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.4

SevillaRayo Vallecano
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 8 Mar 2026

Sevilla meet Rayo Vallecano in the Spain, La Liga on 8 March 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sevilla at 2.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 8 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Sevilla is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.