Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaMon, 4 May 2026

Sevilla

LLWLL

Mon, 4 May 202620:00

1 : 0

Full time

Real Sociedad

DLDDW

Pre-match win probability

39.6%Sevilla28.8%Draw31.7%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Sevilla

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sevilla 39.6%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Real Sociedad 31.7%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

SevillaReal Sociedad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.418% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X52.2%
X247.8%

Match result

Sevilla2.4
Draw3.3
Real Sociedad3

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

Sevilla

Chance39.6%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Real Sociedad

Chance31.7%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.53

SevillaReal Sociedad
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Mon, 4 May 2026

Sevilla meet Real Sociedad in the Spain, La Liga on 4 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sevilla at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sevilla vs Real Sociedad?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 4 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sevilla vs Real Sociedad?

Sevilla is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad prediction, H2H and stats