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SGV Freiberg vs FSV Mainz 05 II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWestSat, 25 Apr 2026

SGV Freiberg

LLLWD

Sat, 25 Apr 202613:00

1 : 2

Full time

FSV Mainz 05 II

LDDWL

Pre-match win probability

49.8%SGV Freiberg23.9%Draw26.3%FSV Mainz 05 II

Our prediction

Away or Draw · SGV Freiberg

SGV Freiberg vs FSV Mainz 05 II listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence49.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • SGV Freiberg 49.8%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • FSV Mainz 05 II 26.3%

Season statistics

Regionalliga - SudWest · highlighted side is stronger

SGV FreibergFSV Mainz 05 II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.3% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X59.4%
X240.6%

Match result

SGV Freiberg1.8
Draw3.75
FSV Mainz 05 II3.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance59.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance40.6%
Odds1.83

SGV Freiberg

Chance49.8%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance23.9%
Odds3.75

FSV Mainz 05 II

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.83

SGV FreibergFSV Mainz 05 II
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

SGV Freiberg vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction & preview

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · Sat, 25 Apr 2026

SGV Freiberg meet FSV Mainz 05 II in the Germany, Regionalliga - SudWest on 25 April 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is SGV Freiberg at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

SGV Freiberg vs FSV Mainz 05 II FAQs

4 questions

What time is SGV Freiberg vs FSV Mainz 05 II?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 25 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on SGV Freiberg vs FSV Mainz 05 II?

SGV Freiberg is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

SGV Freiberg vs FSV Mainz 05 II prediction, H2H and stats