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Shabana vs Sofapaka Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Kenya · FKF Premier LeagueSat, 17 Jan 2026

Shabana

5th in table · 52 pts

DLWDD

Sat, 17 Jan 202612:00

1 : 0

Full time

Sofapaka

18th in table · 19 pts

DLDLL

Pre-match win probability

52.9%Shabana30%Draw17.1%Sofapaka

Our prediction

Shabana

Shabana is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.7
Confidence52.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Shabana 52.9%
  • Draw 30%
  • Sofapaka 17.1%

Season statistics

FKF Premier League · 6 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ShabanaSofapaka
Goals scored (avg)
0.70.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.51.9
Wins
143
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Shabana2W 3D 1L in last 6
  • 25 OctAFC Leopards0 – 0ShabanaD
  • 18 OctShabana0 – 0Nairobi UnitedD
  • 10 OctPosta Rangers FC0 – 1ShabanaW
  • 31 MayShabana1 – 2KCBL
  • 24 MaySofapaka1 – 1ShabanaD
Sofapaka0W 4D 5L in last 9
  • 31 MayKariobangi Sharks6 – 0SofapakaL
  • 27 MaySofapaka1 – 2KCBL
  • 24 MaySofapaka1 – 1ShabanaD
  • 11 MayPosta Rangers FC3 – 0SofapakaL
  • 2 MaySofapaka2 – 2Mathare UnitedD
H2H
Head to headShabana 3W · 1D · Sofapaka 1W · 2 goals a game
  • 24 MaySofapaka1 – 1Shabana
  • 26 JanSofapaka0 – 1Shabana
  • 23 OctShabana0 – 1Sofapaka
  • 4 MaySofapaka0 – 1Shabana
  • 16 DecShabana4 – 1Sofapaka

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals33.7% · 2.7566.3% · 1.4

Double chance

1X63.7%
X236.3%

Match result

Shabana1.7
Draw3
Sofapaka5.25

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance63.7%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance36.3%
Odds1.95

Shabana

Chance52.9%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3

Sofapaka

Chance17.1%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Shabana at 1.7

ShabanaSofapaka
Recent form69%31%
Attack64%36%
Defence69%31%
Goals model64%36%
Head-to-head70%30%
Overall76%24%

Trends

Trend · FKF Premier League

Shabana scored 0.7 per game in the last 6.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Shabana conceded 0.5 per game in the last 6.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Failed to score in 2 of those 6.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 6.

Shabana vs Sofapaka: prediction & preview

Kenya · FKF Premier League · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

Shabana meet Sofapaka in the Kenya, FKF Premier League on 17 January 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Shabana at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Shabana vs Sofapaka FAQs

4 questions

What time is Shabana vs Sofapaka?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Shabana vs Sofapaka?

Shabana is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.75 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Shabana vs Sofapaka prediction, H2H and stats