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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu, 19 Mar 2026

Shakhtar Donetsk

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Thu, 19 Mar 202621:00

1 : 2

Full time

Lech Poznan

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Pre-match win probability

43.7%Shakhtar Donetsk26.1%Draw30.3%Lech Poznan

Our prediction

Home · Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan listed tip from the board.

Odds2.15
Confidence43.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Shakhtar Donetsk 43.7%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Lech Poznan 30.3%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · highlighted side is stronger

Shakhtar DonetskLech Poznan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7511.5% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Shakhtar Donetsk2.15
Draw3.6
Lech Poznan3.1

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

Shakhtar Donetsk

Chance43.7%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.6

Lech Poznan

Chance30.3%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.15

Shakhtar DonetskLech Poznan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 19 Mar 2026

Shakhtar Donetsk meet Lech Poznan in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 19 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Shakhtar Donetsk at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 19 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan?

Shakhtar Donetsk is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan prediction, H2H and stats