Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J1 LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026

Shimizu S-pulse

13th in table · 14 pts

WWWLD

Sat, 17 Oct 202605:00

2 : 2

Full time

Gamba Osaka

15th in table · 11 pts

LWWDD

Pre-match win probability

40.9%Shimizu S-pulse28.3%Draw30.7%Gamba Osaka

Our prediction

Home · Shimizu S-pulse

Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka listed tip from the board.

Odds2.25
Confidence40.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Shimizu S-pulse 40.9%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Gamba Osaka 30.7%

Season statistics

J1 League · highlighted side is stronger

Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
Goals scored (avg)
–2.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.6
Wins
42
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Shimizu S-pulse0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Gamba Osaka4W 2D 3L in last 9
    • 28 OctGamba Osaka1 – 1Buriram UnitedD
    • 24 OctGamba Osaka2 – 2Kyoto SangaD
    • 21 OctAvispa Fukuoka1 – 2Gamba OsakaW
    • 13 OctNewcastle Jets1 – 3Gamba OsakaW
    • 9 OctKashima2 – 0Gamba OsakaL
    H2H
    Head to headShimizu S-pulse 2W · 4D · Gamba Osaka 3W · 1.7 goals a game
    • 24 MayShimizu S-pulse1 – 2Gamba Osaka
    • 28 FebGamba Osaka2 – 2Shimizu S-pulse
    • 15 JunShimizu S-pulse0 – 0Gamba Osaka
    • 8 MarGamba Osaka1 – 0Shimizu S-pulse
    • 14 AugGamba Osaka0 – 2Shimizu S-pulse
    • 10 AprShimizu S-pulse1 – 1Gamba Osaka

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
    3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes54.7%
    No45.3%

    Double chance

    1X54.4%
    X245.6%

    Match result

    Shimizu S-pulse2.25
    Draw3.25
    Gamba Osaka3

    Both teams to score

    Yes54.7% · 1.7
    No45.3% · 2.05

    1X

    Chance54.4%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance45.6%
    Odds1.62

    Shimizu S-pulse

    Chance40.9%
    Odds2.25

    Draw

    Chance28.3%
    Odds3.25

    Gamba Osaka

    Chance30.7%
    Odds3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 2.25

    Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack30%70%
    Defence42%58%
    Goals model30%70%
    Head-to-head44%56%
    Overall57%43%

    Trends

    Trend · J1 League

    Gamba Osaka scored 2.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · J1 League

    Gamba Osaka conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · J1 League

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · J1 League

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka: prediction & preview

    Japan · J1 League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

    Shimizu S-pulse meet Gamba Osaka in the Japan, J1 League on 17 October 2026 at 05:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Shimizu S-pulse at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

    Kickoff is 05:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

    Shimizu S-pulse is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.