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Sofapaka vs Mara Sugar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Kenya · FKF Premier LeagueTue, 28 Oct 2025

Sofapaka

DLDLL

Tue, 28 Oct 202513:00

2 : 2

Full time

Mara Sugar

LDWDD

Pre-match win probability

37.8%Sofapaka31.4%Draw30.9%Mara Sugar

Our prediction

Sofapaka

Sofapaka is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.41
Confidence37.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sofapaka 37.8%
  • Draw 31.4%
  • Mara Sugar 30.9%

Season statistics

FKF Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SofapakaMara Sugar
Goals scored (avg)
0.40.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.90.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sofapaka0W 4D 5L in last 9
  • 31 MayKariobangi Sharks6 – 0SofapakaL
  • 27 MaySofapaka1 – 2KCBL
  • 24 MaySofapaka1 – 1ShabanaD
  • 11 MayPosta Rangers FC3 – 0SofapakaL
  • 2 MaySofapaka2 – 2Mathare UnitedD
Mara Sugar1W 4D 1L in last 6
  • 28 OctMara Sugar0 – 0AFC LeopardsD
  • 24 OctUlinzi Stars0 – 0Mara SugarD
  • 19 OctMara Sugar2 – 1Mombasa EliteW
  • 11 Oct3K2 – 2Mara SugarD
  • 31 MayMurang'a SEAL2 – 1Mara SugarL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.6% · 1.063.2% · 7.1
1.5 goals16.4% · 1.398.8% · 2.59
2.5 goals9.9% · 2.314.7% · 1.55
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.219.9% · 1.15

Both teams to score

Yes47.7%
No52.3%

Double chance

1X52.3%
X247.7%

Match result

Sofapaka2.41
Draw2.9
Mara Sugar2.95

Both teams to score

Yes47.7% · 1.93
No52.3% · 1.76

1X

Chance52.3%
Odds1.32

X2

Chance47.7%
Odds1.45

Sofapaka

Chance37.8%
Odds2.41

Draw

Chance31.4%
Odds2.9

Mara Sugar

Chance30.9%
Odds2.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sofapaka at 2.41

SofapakaMara Sugar
Recent form36%64%
Attack33%67%
Defence33%67%
Goals model33%67%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · FKF Premier League

Sofapaka scored 0.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Sofapaka conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Failed to score in 6 of those 9.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Sofapaka vs Mara Sugar: prediction & preview

Kenya · FKF Premier League · Tue, 28 Oct 2025

Sofapaka meet Mara Sugar in the Kenya, FKF Premier League on 28 October 2025 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sofapaka at 2.41. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.55, about 59.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.76.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sofapaka vs Mara Sugar FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sofapaka vs Mara Sugar?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 28 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sofapaka vs Mara Sugar?

Sofapaka is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.41. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.55.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.93. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.