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Sofapaka vs Tusker Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Kenya · FKF Premier LeagueSun, 14 Dec 2025

Sofapaka

18th in table · 19 pts

DLDLL

Sun, 14 Dec 202513:00

0 : 2

Full time

Tusker

9th in table · 45 pts

DWWLD

Pre-match win probability

24.7%Sofapaka33.9%Draw41.4%Tusker

Our prediction

Tusker

Tusker is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence41.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sofapaka 24.7%
  • Draw 33.9%
  • Tusker 41.4%

Season statistics

FKF Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SofapakaTusker
Goals scored (avg)
0.41.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.90.8
Wins
313
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sofapaka0W 4D 5L in last 9
  • 31 MayKariobangi Sharks6 – 0SofapakaL
  • 27 MaySofapaka1 – 2KCBL
  • 24 MaySofapaka1 – 1ShabanaD
  • 11 MayPosta Rangers FC3 – 0SofapakaL
  • 2 MaySofapaka2 – 2Mathare UnitedD
Tusker2W 2D 1L in last 5
  • 25 OctSingida Black Stars1 – 1TuskerD
  • 18 OctTusker0 – 1Singida Black StarsL
  • 11 OctUlinzi Stars0 – 2TuskerW
  • 12 SeptTusker1 – 0Al Ahli Wad MedaniW
  • 6 SeptAl Ahli Wad Medani2 – 2TuskerD
H2H
Head to headSofapaka 1W · 2D · Tusker 6W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 18 AprTusker0 – 0Sofapaka
  • 18 MaySofapaka7 – 1Tusker
  • 24 AugTusker1 – 0Sofapaka
  • 14 JanTusker3 – 1Sofapaka
  • 28 OctSofapaka0 – 1Tusker
  • 9 AprTusker2 – 0Sofapaka

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals25% · 3.7575% · 1.25

Double chance

1X43.7%
X256.3%

Match result

Sofapaka3.6
Draw2.62
Tusker2.15

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance43.7%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance56.3%
Odds1.22

Sofapaka

Chance24.7%
Odds3.6

Draw

Chance33.9%
Odds2.62

Tusker

Chance41.4%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tusker at 2.15

SofapakaTusker
Recent form33%67%
Attack25%75%
Defence33%67%
Goals model25%75%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall37%63%

Trends

Trend · FKF Premier League

Sofapaka scored 0.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Sofapaka conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Failed to score in 6 of those 9.

Trend · FKF Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Sofapaka vs Tusker: prediction & preview

Kenya · FKF Premier League · Sun, 14 Dec 2025

Sofapaka meet Tusker in the Kenya, FKF Premier League on 14 December 2025 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tusker at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.25, about 75% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sofapaka vs Tusker FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sofapaka vs Tusker?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 14 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sofapaka vs Tusker?

Tusker is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 3.75 and under 2.5 is 1.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.