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South Melbourne vs Green Gully Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Victoria NPLSun, 28 Jun 2026

South Melbourne

WLDLL

Sun, 28 Jun 202606:30

1 : 2

Full time

Green Gully

LLDLL

Pre-match win probability

65.3%South Melbourne19%Draw15.7%Green Gully

Our prediction

Home or Draw · South Melbourne

South Melbourne vs Green Gully listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence65.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • South Melbourne 65.3%
  • Draw 19%
  • Green Gully 15.7%

Season statistics

Victoria NPL · highlighted side is stronger

South MelbourneGreen Gully

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.9% · 1.579.9% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X71.4%
X228.6%

Match result

South Melbourne1.38
Draw4.75
Green Gully5.75

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance71.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance28.6%
Odds2.75

South Melbourne

Chance65.3%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance19%
Odds4.75

Green Gully

Chance15.7%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.1

South MelbourneGreen Gully
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall81%19%

South Melbourne vs Green Gully: prediction & preview

Australia · Victoria NPL · Sun, 28 Jun 2026

South Melbourne meet Green Gully in the Australia, Victoria NPL on 28 June 2026 at 06:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is South Melbourne at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

South Melbourne vs Green Gully FAQs

4 questions

What time is South Melbourne vs Green Gully?

Kickoff is 06:30 on 28 June 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on South Melbourne vs Green Gully?

South Melbourne is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

South Melbourne vs Green Gully prediction, H2H and stats