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South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Victoria NPLSun, 23 Aug 2026

South Melbourne

5th in table · 41 pts

WDWWW

Sun, 23 Aug 202606:30

1 : 2

Full time

Heidelberg United

6th in table · 40 pts

LDLWL

Pre-match win probability

34.5%South Melbourne26.4%Draw39%Heidelberg United

Our prediction

Home · South Melbourne

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United listed tip from the board.

Odds2.6
Confidence39%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • South Melbourne 34.5%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Heidelberg United 39%

Season statistics

Victoria NPL · highlighted side is stronger

South MelbourneHeidelberg United
Goals scored (avg)
–1.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.2
Wins
1311
Played
2626

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

South Melbourne0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Heidelberg United2W 4D 3L in last 9
    • 6 SeptSouth Melbourne2 – 1Heidelberg UnitedL
    • 29 AugHeidelberg United2 – 0Bentleigh GreensW
    • 15 AugHeidelberg United4 – 5Hume CityL
    • 12 AugNorth Sunshine Eagles0 – 0Heidelberg UnitedD
    • 1 AugAvondale2 – 1Heidelberg UnitedL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.1% · 1.011.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
    2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
    3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6%
    No42.4%

    Double chance

    1X48.3%
    X251.7%

    Match result

    South Melbourne2.6
    Draw3.4
    Heidelberg United2.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6% · 1.62
    No42.4% · 2.2

    1X

    Chance48.3%
    Odds1.5

    X2

    Chance51.7%
    Odds1.4

    South Melbourne

    Chance34.5%
    Odds2.6

    Draw

    Chance26.4%
    Odds3.4

    Heidelberg United

    Chance39%
    Odds2.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 2.6

    South MelbourneHeidelberg United
    Recent form9%91%
    Attack42%58%
    Defence36%64%
    Goals model42%58%
    Overall47%53%

    Trends

    Trend · Victoria NPL

    Heidelberg United scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Victoria NPL

    Heidelberg United conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Victoria NPL

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Victoria NPL

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

    South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United: prediction & preview

    Australia · Victoria NPL · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

    South Melbourne meet Heidelberg United in the Australia, Victoria NPL on 23 August 2026 at 06:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Heidelberg United at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

    Kickoff is 06:30 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

    Heidelberg United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United prediction, H2H and stats