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South Melbourne vs Lions Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Australia CupTue, 15 Sept 2026

South Melbourne

LWLWL

Tue, 15 Sept 202610:30

3 : 1

Full time

Lions

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

54%South Melbourne25.2%Draw20.8%Lions

Our prediction

Away · South Melbourne

South Melbourne vs Lions listed tip from the board.

Odds4.5
Confidence54%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • South Melbourne 54%
  • Draw 25.2%
  • Lions 20.8%

Season statistics

Australia Cup · highlighted side is stronger

South MelbourneLions

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals20% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.610.2% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

South Melbourne1.73
Draw3.7
Lions4.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2

South Melbourne

Chance54%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance25.2%
Odds3.7

Lions

Chance20.8%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 4.5

South MelbourneLions
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall72%28%

South Melbourne vs Lions: prediction & preview

Australia · Australia Cup · Tue, 15 Sept 2026

South Melbourne meet Lions in the Australia, Australia Cup on 15 September 2026 at 10:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is South Melbourne at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

South Melbourne vs Lions FAQs

4 questions

What time is South Melbourne vs Lions?

Kickoff is 10:30 on 15 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on South Melbourne vs Lions?

South Melbourne is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

South Melbourne vs Lions prediction, H2H and stats