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South Melbourne vs Melbourne City II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Victoria NPLFri, 1 May 2026

South Melbourne

Fri, 1 May 202610:30

1 : 2

Full time

Melbourne City II

Pre-match win probability

59.5%South Melbourne20.6%Draw19.8%Melbourne City II

Our prediction

South Melbourne

South Melbourne is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.5
Confidence59.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • South Melbourne 59.5%
  • Draw 20.6%
  • Melbourne City II 19.8%

Season statistics

Victoria NPL · highlighted side is stronger

South MelbourneMelbourne City II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.579.9% · 2.35
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.2514.8% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X66.8%
X233.2%

Match result

South Melbourne1.5
Draw4.33
Melbourne City II4.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance66.8%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance33.2%
Odds2.25

South Melbourne

Chance59.5%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance20.6%
Odds4.33

Melbourne City II

Chance19.8%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: South Melbourne at 1.5

South MelbourneMelbourne City II
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

South Melbourne vs Melbourne City II: prediction & preview

Australia · Victoria NPL · Fri, 1 May 2026

South Melbourne meet Melbourne City II in the Australia, Victoria NPL on 1 May 2026 at 10:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is South Melbourne at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

South Melbourne vs Melbourne City II FAQs

4 questions

What time is South Melbourne vs Melbourne City II?

Kickoff is 10:30 on 1 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on South Melbourne vs Melbourne City II?

South Melbourne is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

South Melbourne vs Melbourne City II prediction, H2H and stats