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South Melbourne vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Australian ChampionshipSun, 19 Oct 2025

South Melbourne

Sun, 19 Oct 202506:30

2 : 0

Full time

Moreton City Excelsior

Pre-match win probability

54.5%South Melbourne22.4%Draw23.1%Moreton City Excelsior

Our prediction

South Melbourne

South Melbourne is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.71
Confidence54.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • South Melbourne 54.5%
  • Draw 22.4%
  • Moreton City Excelsior 23.1%

Season statistics

Australian Championship · highlighted side is stronger

South MelbourneMoreton City Excelsior

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.021.7% · 13.3
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.145.2% · 4.45
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5310.5% · 2.21
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.4515.2% · 1.52

Both teams to score

Yes57.5%
No42.5%

Double chance

1X63%
X237%

Match result

South Melbourne1.71
Draw4.15
Moreton City Excelsior4.03

Both teams to score

Yes57.5% · 1.61
No42.5% · 2.18

1X

Chance63%
Odds1.21

X2

Chance37%
Odds2.06

South Melbourne

Chance54.5%
Odds1.71

Draw

Chance22.4%
Odds4.15

Moreton City Excelsior

Chance23.1%
Odds4.03

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: South Melbourne at 1.71

South MelbourneMoreton City Excelsior
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

South Melbourne vs Moreton City Excelsior: prediction & preview

Australia · Australian Championship · Sun, 19 Oct 2025

South Melbourne meet Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia, Australian Championship on 19 October 2025 at 06:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is South Melbourne at 1.71. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 59.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.61.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

South Melbourne vs Moreton City Excelsior FAQs

4 questions

What time is South Melbourne vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Kickoff is 06:30 on 19 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on South Melbourne vs Moreton City Excelsior?

South Melbourne is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.71. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.21.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.61. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.