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South Melbourne vs Sydney United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Australian ChampionshipFri, 23 Oct 2026

South Melbourne

WDWLW

Fri, 23 Oct 202609:30

1 : 1

Full time

Sydney United

DWWWD

Pre-match win probability

53.9%South Melbourne23.7%Draw22.5%Sydney United

Our prediction

Home or Draw · South Melbourne

South Melbourne vs Sydney United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence53.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • South Melbourne 53.9%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Sydney United 22.5%

Season statistics

Australian Championship · highlighted side is stronger

South MelbourneSydney United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.7% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

South Melbourne1.67
Draw3.8
Sydney United4

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2

South Melbourne

Chance53.9%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds3.8

Sydney United

Chance22.5%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

South MelbourneSydney United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

South Melbourne vs Sydney United: prediction & preview

Australia · Australian Championship · Fri, 23 Oct 2026

South Melbourne meet Sydney United in the Australia, Australian Championship on 23 October 2026 at 09:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is South Melbourne at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

South Melbourne vs Sydney United FAQs

4 questions

What time is South Melbourne vs Sydney United?

Kickoff is 09:30 on 23 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on South Melbourne vs Sydney United?

South Melbourne is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

South Melbourne vs Sydney United prediction, H2H and stats