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Southampton vs Leicester Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 14 Feb 2026

Southampton

WWWDW

Sat, 14 Feb 202616:00

2 : 1

Full time

Leicester

LLLLD

Pre-match win probability

54.3%Southampton24.1%Draw21.7%Leicester

Our prediction

Home · Southampton

Southampton vs Leicester listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence54.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southampton 54.3%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Leicester 21.7%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

SouthamptonLeicester

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.7% · 1.25.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.2% · 1.6710.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

Southampton1.73
Draw3.9
Leicester4.33

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2.05

Southampton

Chance54.3%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.9

Leicester

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.73

SouthamptonLeicester
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Southampton vs Leicester: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Southampton meet Leicester in the England, FA Cup on 14 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Southampton at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southampton vs Leicester FAQs

4 questions

What time is Southampton vs Leicester?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Southampton vs Leicester?

Southampton is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Southampton vs Leicester prediction, H2H and stats