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Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipTue, 12 May 2026

Southampton

DWDLD

Tue, 12 May 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

Middlesbrough

DDWWD

Pre-match win probability

39.6%Southampton27.7%Draw32.7%Middlesbrough

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Southampton

Southampton vs Middlesbrough listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southampton 39.6%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Middlesbrough 32.7%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

SouthamptonMiddlesbrough

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X52.2%
X247.8%

Match result

Southampton2.38
Draw3.4
Middlesbrough2.88

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

Southampton

Chance39.6%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

Middlesbrough

Chance32.7%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.53

SouthamptonMiddlesbrough
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Southampton vs Middlesbrough: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Tue, 12 May 2026

Southampton meet Middlesbrough in the England, Championship on 12 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Southampton at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southampton vs Middlesbrough FAQs

4 questions

What time is Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 12 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

Southampton is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.