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Southampton vs Stoke City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 22 Aug 2026

Southampton

LWWWW

Sat, 22 Aug 202615:00

3 : 1

Full time

Stoke City

LWDWD

Pre-match win probability

58.1%Southampton23.3%Draw18.6%Stoke City

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Southampton

Southampton vs Stoke City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence58.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southampton 58.1%
  • Draw 23.3%
  • Stoke City 18.6%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

SouthamptonStoke City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X66.3%
X233.7%

Match result

Southampton1.6
Draw4
Stoke City5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance66.3%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance33.7%
Odds2.3

Southampton

Chance58.1%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance23.3%
Odds4

Stoke City

Chance18.6%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

SouthamptonStoke City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Southampton vs Stoke City: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Southampton meet Stoke City in the England, Championship on 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Southampton at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southampton vs Stoke City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Southampton vs Stoke City?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Southampton vs Stoke City?

Southampton is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Southampton vs Stoke City prediction, H2H and stats