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Southend vs Morecambe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National LeagueSat, 14 Feb 2026

Southend

DLWLD

Sat, 14 Feb 202616:00

5 : 1

Full time

Morecambe

DLDLL

Pre-match win probability

64.7%Southend20.1%Draw15.1%Morecambe

Our prediction

Home · Southend

Southend vs Morecambe listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence64.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southend 64.7%
  • Draw 20.1%
  • Morecambe 15.1%

Season statistics

National League · highlighted side is stronger

SouthendMorecambe

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.1% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X70.2%
X229.8%

Match result

Southend1.4
Draw4.5
Morecambe6

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

Southend

Chance64.7%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance20.1%
Odds4.5

Morecambe

Chance15.1%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.4

SouthendMorecambe
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall81%19%

Southend vs Morecambe: prediction & preview

England · National League · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Southend meet Morecambe in the England, National League on 14 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Southend at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southend vs Morecambe FAQs

4 questions

What time is Southend vs Morecambe?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Southend vs Morecambe?

Southend is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.