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Southport vs Chorley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthTue, 21 Oct 2025

Southport

LDLLD

Tue, 21 Oct 202519:45

1 : 1

Full time

Chorley

WDLLW

Pre-match win probability

32.7%Southport27.9%Draw39.4%Chorley

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Southport

Southport vs Chorley listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence39.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southport 32.7%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Chorley 39.4%

Season statistics

National League - North · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SouthportChorley
Goals scored (avg)
0.42
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Southport1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 24 OctKing's Lynn Town0 – 0SouthportD
  • 17 OctSouthport0 – 2RadcliffeL
  • 10 OctHarborough Town1 – 0SouthportL
  • 26 SeptSouthport2 – 2Spennymoor TownD
  • 19 SeptMorecambe2 – 0SouthportL
Chorley6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 27 OctRadcliffe0 – 3ChorleyW
  • 24 OctChorley2 – 3BuxtonL
  • 20 OctWorcester City1 – 0ChorleyL
  • 17 OctChorley1 – 1Worcester CityD
  • 10 OctChorley2 – 1AFC Telford UnitedW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%3.2% · 9.2
1.5 goals23.4% · 1.269.1% · 3.22
2.5 goals15.3% · 1.9216.4% · 1.8
3.5 goals9.2% · 3.223.4% · 1.26

Both teams to score

Yes53.9%
No46.1%

Double chance

1X47.4%
X252.6%

Match result

Southport2.83
Draw3.32
Chorley2.35

Both teams to score

Yes53.9% · 1.71
No46.1% · 2

1X

Chance47.4%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.6%
Odds1.38

Southport

Chance32.7%
Odds2.83

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.32

Chorley

Chance39.4%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.38

SouthportChorley
Recent form21%79%
Attack17%83%
Defence47%53%
Goals model17%83%
Overall45%55%

Trends

Trend · National League - North

Southport scored 0.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · National League - North

Southport conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · National League - North

Failed to score in 7 of those 9.

Trend · National League - North

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Southport vs Chorley: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Tue, 21 Oct 2025

Southport meet Chorley in the England, National League - North on 21 October 2025 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chorley at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 51.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.71.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southport vs Chorley FAQs

4 questions

What time is Southport vs Chorley?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 21 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Southport vs Chorley?

Chorley is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.92 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.71. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.