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Southport vs Merthyr Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthSat, 24 Jan 2026

Southport

LWWDL

Sat, 24 Jan 202616:00

1 : 0

Full time

Merthyr Town

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

36.3%Southport25.9%Draw37.8%Merthyr Town

Our prediction

Away · Southport

Southport vs Merthyr Town listed tip from the board.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southport 36.3%
  • Draw 25.9%
  • Merthyr Town 37.8%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

SouthportMerthyr Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals20% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.610.2% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.3% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Southport2.5
Draw3.5
Merthyr Town2.4

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

Southport

Chance36.3%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance25.9%
Odds3.5

Merthyr Town

Chance37.8%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.4

SouthportMerthyr Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Southport vs Merthyr Town: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Sat, 24 Jan 2026

Southport meet Merthyr Town in the England, National League - North on 24 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Merthyr Town at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southport vs Merthyr Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Southport vs Merthyr Town?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 24 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Southport vs Merthyr Town?

Merthyr Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Southport vs Merthyr Town prediction, H2H and stats