Spain vs Argentina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World CupSun, 19 Jul 2026

Spain

Sun, 19 Jul 202620:00

1 : 0

Full time

Argentina

Pre-match win probability

42.1%Spain31.6%Draw26.3%Argentina

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Spain

Spain vs Argentina listed tip from the board.

Odds2.25
Confidence42.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Spain 42.1%
  • Draw 31.6%
  • Argentina 26.3%

Season statistics

World Cup · highlighted side is stronger

SpainArgentina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62
3.5 goals6% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X55.9%
X244.1%

Match result

Spain2.25
Draw3
Argentina3.6

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance55.9%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.1%
Odds1.62

Spain

Chance42.1%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance31.6%
Odds3

Argentina

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 2.25

SpainArgentina
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Spain vs Argentina: prediction & preview

World · World Cup · Sun, 19 Jul 2026

Spain meet Argentina in the World, World Cup on 19 July 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Spain at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Spain vs Argentina FAQs

4 questions

What time is Spain vs Argentina?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 19 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Spain vs Argentina?

Spain is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Spain vs Argentina prediction, H2H and stats