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Spain vs Croatia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueTue, 29 Sept 2026

Spain

WDWWW

Tue, 29 Sept 202619:45

4 : 1

Full time

Croatia

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

77.8%Spain13.6%Draw8.6%Croatia

Our prediction

Home · Spain

Spain vs Croatia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence77.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Spain 77.8%
  • Draw 13.6%
  • Croatia 8.6%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

SpainCroatia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.7% · 2.7
3.5 goals11.2% · 2.114.1% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X79.2%
X220.8%

Match result

Spain1.22
Draw7
Croatia11

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance79.2%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance20.8%
Odds4

Spain

Chance77.8%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance13.6%
Odds7

Croatia

Chance8.6%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.22

SpainCroatia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall90%10%

Spain vs Croatia: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Spain meet Croatia in the World, UEFA Nations League on 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Spain at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Spain vs Croatia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Spain vs Croatia?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Spain vs Croatia?

Spain is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Spain vs Croatia prediction, H2H and stats