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Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Bulgaria · First LeagueMon, 3 Aug 2026

Spartak Varna

7th in table · 13 pts

DLWWL

Mon, 3 Aug 202619:15

1 : 0

Full time

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

11th in table · 9 pts

WDWWD

Pre-match win probability

33.3%Spartak Varna30.1%Draw36.6%Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence36.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Spartak Varna 33.3%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv 36.6%

Season statistics

First League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Goals scored (avg)
0.90.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.70.7
Wins
32
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Spartak Varna2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctDunav Ruse2 – 0Spartak VarnaL
  • 19 OctEtar Veliko Tarnovo2 – 4Spartak VarnaW
  • 10 OctBotev Vratsa0 – 1Spartak VarnaW
  • 20 SeptSpartak Varna0 – 1Lokomotiv SofiaL
  • 13 SeptSlavia Sofia0 – 0Spartak VarnaD
Lokomotiv Plovdiv4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 26 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv0 – 0Slavia SofiaD
  • 21 OctCherno More Varna0 – 1Lokomotiv PlovdivW
  • 16 OctYantra 20190 – 2Lokomotiv PlovdivW
  • 10 OctLokomotiv Sofia1 – 1Lokomotiv PlovdivD
  • 2 OctLokomotiv Plovdiv2 – 0Arda KardzhaliW
H2H
Head to headSpartak Varna 2W · 1D · Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 21 FebLokomotiv Plovdiv1 – 1Spartak Varna
  • 30 AugSpartak Varna1 – 2Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  • 7 AprLokomotiv Plovdiv1 – 2Spartak Varna
  • 23 OctSpartak Varna1 – 0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  • 28 AprLokomotiv Plovdiv3 – 1Spartak Varna
  • 10 OctSpartak Varna0 – 2Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Spartak Varna2.8
Draw3.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv2.55

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

Spartak Varna

Chance33.3%
Odds2.8

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Chance36.6%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.53

Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Recent form38%62%
Attack53%47%
Defence36%64%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head42%58%
Overall48%52%

Trends

Trend · First League

Spartak Varna scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · First League

Spartak Varna conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · First League

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · First League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: prediction & preview

Bulgaria · First League · Mon, 3 Aug 2026

Spartak Varna meet Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria, First League on 3 August 2026 at 19:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv FAQs

4 questions

What time is Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Kickoff is 19:15 on 3 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.