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Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Bulgaria · First LeagueThu, 19 Mar 2026

Spartak Varna

LLWLD

Thu, 19 Mar 202617:00

1 : 5

Full time

Ludogorets

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

9.3%Spartak Varna16.2%Draw74.5%Ludogorets

Our prediction

1-2 · Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence74.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Spartak Varna 9.3%
  • Draw 16.2%
  • Ludogorets 74.5%

Season statistics

First League · highlighted side is stronger

Spartak VarnaLudogorets
Goals scored (avg)
–2.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Spartak Varna0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Ludogorets7W 2D 1L in last 10
    • 26 OctCSKA Sofia2 – 0LudogoretsL
    • 17 OctBeroe0 – 3LudogoretsW
    • 12 OctLudogorets5 – 0Arda KardzhaliW
    • 4 OctLudogorets5 – 0Cherno More VarnaW
    • 27 SeptLudogorets3 – 0CSM Ramnicu ValceaW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
    1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
    2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
    3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4%
    No57.6%

    Double chance

    1X22%
    X278%

    Match result

    Spartak Varna10
    Draw5.75
    Ludogorets1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4% · 2.2
    No57.6% · 1.62

    1X

    Chance22%
    Odds3.75

    X2

    Chance78%
    Odds1.06

    Spartak Varna

    Chance9.3%
    Odds10

    Draw

    Chance16.2%
    Odds5.75

    Ludogorets

    Chance74.5%
    Odds1.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1-2 at 1.25

    Spartak VarnaLudogorets
    Recent form4%96%
    Attack29%71%
    Defence29%71%
    Goals model29%71%
    Overall11%89%

    Trends

    Trend · First League

    Ludogorets scored 2.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · First League

    Ludogorets conceded 0.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · First League

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · First League

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

    Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets: prediction & preview

    Bulgaria · First League · Thu, 19 Mar 2026

    Spartak Varna meet Ludogorets in the Bulgaria, First League on 19 March 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–5.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ludogorets at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?

    Kickoff is 17:00 on 19 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?

    Ludogorets is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.