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Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthSat, 18 Oct 2025

Spennymoor Town

Sat, 18 Oct 202515:00

6 : 4

Full time

Merthyr Town

Pre-match win probability

59.6%Spennymoor Town22.3%Draw18.1%Merthyr Town

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Spennymoor Town

Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr Town listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence59.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Spennymoor Town 59.6%
  • Draw 22.3%
  • Merthyr Town 18.1%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Spennymoor TownMerthyr Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.011.8% · 12.5
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.175.8% · 3.96
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.6510.8% · 2.12
3.5 goals9% · 2.5616.4% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes54.2%
No45.8%

Double chance

1X67.3%
X232.7%

Match result

Spennymoor Town1.55
Draw4.15
Merthyr Town5.11

Both teams to score

Yes54.2% · 1.7
No45.8% · 2.01

1X

Chance67.3%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance32.7%
Odds2.31

Spennymoor Town

Chance59.6%
Odds1.55

Draw

Chance22.3%
Odds4.15

Merthyr Town

Chance18.1%
Odds5.11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

Spennymoor TownMerthyr Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall77%23%

Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr Town: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Sat, 18 Oct 2025

Spennymoor Town meet Merthyr Town in the England, National League - North on 18 October 2025 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 6–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Spennymoor Town at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 56.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr Town?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 18 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr Town?

Spennymoor Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.12.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr Town prediction, H2H and stats