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Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaFri, 16 Jan 2026

Sporting CP

LDWWD

Fri, 16 Jan 202621:15

3 : 0

Full time

Casa Pia

LDWLD

Pre-match win probability

77.8%Sporting CP14.4%Draw7.8%Casa Pia

Our prediction

Home · Sporting CP

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence77.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sporting CP 77.8%
  • Draw 14.4%
  • Casa Pia 7.8%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Sporting CPCasa Pia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X80.5%
X219.5%

Match result

Sporting CP1.2
Draw6.5
Casa Pia12

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance80.5%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance19.5%
Odds4.33

Sporting CP

Chance77.8%
Odds1.2

Draw

Chance14.4%
Odds6.5

Casa Pia

Chance7.8%
Odds12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.2

Sporting CPCasa Pia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall91%9%

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Fri, 16 Jan 2026

Sporting CP meet Casa Pia in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 16 January 2026 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sporting CP at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sporting CP vs Casa Pia?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 16 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sporting CP vs Casa Pia?

Sporting CP is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia prediction, H2H and stats