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Sporting CP vs Guimaraes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaMon, 4 May 2026

Sporting CP

DDDLD

Mon, 4 May 202620:15

5 : 1

Full time

Guimaraes

WWDWL

Pre-match win probability

74.3%Sporting CP17.2%Draw8.6%Guimaraes

Our prediction

Home · Sporting CP

Sporting CP vs Guimaraes listed tip from the board.

Odds1.27
Confidence74.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sporting CP 74.3%
  • Draw 17.2%
  • Guimaraes 8.6%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Sporting CPGuimaraes

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X78.1%
X221.9%

Match result

Sporting CP1.27
Draw5.5
Guimaraes11

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance78.1%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance21.9%
Odds3.75

Sporting CP

Chance74.3%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance17.2%
Odds5.5

Guimaraes

Chance8.6%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.27

Sporting CPGuimaraes
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall90%10%

Sporting CP vs Guimaraes: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 4 May 2026

Sporting CP meet Guimaraes in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 4 May 2026 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sporting CP at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sporting CP vs Guimaraes FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sporting CP vs Guimaraes?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 4 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sporting CP vs Guimaraes?

Sporting CP is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.