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Sporting Gijon vs Castellón Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 15 Mar 2026

Sporting Gijon

Sun, 15 Mar 202621:00

4 : 1

Full time

Castellón

Pre-match win probability

29.1%Sporting Gijon27%Draw43.9%Castellón

Our prediction

Castellón

Castellón is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence43.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sporting Gijon 29.1%
  • Draw 27%
  • Castellón 43.9%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

Sporting GijonCastellón

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X44.3%
X255.7%

Match result

Sporting Gijon3.25
Draw3.5
Castellón2.15

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

Sporting Gijon

Chance29.1%
Odds3.25

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.5

Castellón

Chance43.9%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Castellón at 2.15

Sporting GijonCastellón
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Sporting Gijon vs Castellón: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Sporting Gijon meet Castellón in the Spain, Segunda División on 15 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Castellón at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sporting Gijon vs Castellón FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sporting Gijon vs Castellón?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sporting Gijon vs Castellón?

Castellón is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sporting Gijon vs Castellón prediction, H2H and stats