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ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · Challenge CupTue, 17 Feb 2026

ST Johnstone

WDLWD

Tue, 17 Feb 202620:45

3 : 3

Full time

Ayr Utd

DWLLW

Pre-match win probability

59.7%ST Johnstone22.9%Draw17.4%Ayr Utd

Our prediction

1X · ST Johnstone

ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence59.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • ST Johnstone 59.7%
  • Draw 22.9%
  • Ayr Utd 17.4%

Season statistics

Challenge Cup · highlighted side is stronger

ST JohnstoneAyr Utd

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X67%
X233%

Match result

ST Johnstone1.53
Draw4
Ayr Utd5.25

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance67%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance33%
Odds2.38

ST Johnstone

Chance59.7%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance22.9%
Odds4

Ayr Utd

Chance17.4%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.17

ST JohnstoneAyr Utd
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall77%23%

ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd: prediction & preview

Scotland · Challenge Cup · Tue, 17 Feb 2026

ST Johnstone meet Ayr Utd in the Scotland, Challenge Cup on 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is ST Johnstone at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd FAQs

4 questions

What time is ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 17 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd?

ST Johnstone is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd prediction, H2H and stats