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Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026

Stal Mielec

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Sun, 11 Oct 202611:00

2 : 1

Full time

Warta Poznań

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Pre-match win probability

34.5%Stal Mielec26.4%Draw39%Warta Poznań

Our prediction

Away · Stal Mielec

Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań listed tip from the board.

Odds2.3
Confidence39%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Stal Mielec 34.5%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Warta Poznań 39%

Season statistics

I Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Stal MielecWarta Poznań

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Stal Mielec2.6
Draw3.4
Warta Poznań2.3

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

Stal Mielec

Chance34.5%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

Warta Poznań

Chance39%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.3

Stal MielecWarta Poznań
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Stal Mielec meet Warta Poznań in the Poland, I Liga on 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Warta Poznań at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań FAQs

4 questions

What time is Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań?

Warta Poznań is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań prediction, H2H and stats