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Stenhousemuir vs Morton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · FA CupSat, 17 Jan 2026

Stenhousemuir

WWWDW

Sat, 17 Jan 202616:00

4 : 0

Full time

Morton

DLDLL

Pre-match win probability

37.6%Stenhousemuir28.3%Draw34.1%Morton

Our prediction

Home · Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir vs Morton listed tip from the board.

Odds2.45
Confidence37.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Stenhousemuir 37.6%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Morton 34.1%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

StenhousemuirMorton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Stenhousemuir2.45
Draw3.25
Morton2.7

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

Stenhousemuir

Chance37.6%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.25

Morton

Chance34.1%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.45

StenhousemuirMorton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall52%48%

Stenhousemuir vs Morton: prediction & preview

Scotland · FA Cup · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

Stenhousemuir meet Morton in the Scotland, FA Cup on 17 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Stenhousemuir at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Stenhousemuir vs Morton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Stenhousemuir vs Morton?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Stenhousemuir vs Morton?

Stenhousemuir is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Stenhousemuir vs Morton prediction, H2H and stats